Why don’t you get a “Switch Pro” this year?

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After launching in March 2017, the original Switch could use a more powerful sibling, but it’s unlikely that happens this year.
Photo: Sam Rutherford

techno.rentetan.com – At its E3 event, however, Nintendo was silent, but this holiday will not look like a next-genre Switch.

In his relatively tight E3 presentation, Nintendo packed a lot of news with sneak peaks in upcoming games like Metroid Dread,WarioWare: Get It Together, Breath of the Wild 2, and even a remade for the Advance Wars 1 and 2. However, a no-show was one of the most anticipated Nintendo products, the Switch Pro, and it seems clear that this year we won’t have the Switch Pro.

Now I know that my friends in Kotaku have already spoken a bit about this, but I would like to talk about why we’re going to have a very small chance of seeing Switch Pro in 2021.

Nintendo has sent a press release before E3 kicks off saying that Nintendo’s E3 presentation would “focus on Nintendo Switch games that will be released primarily in 2021.” Translation: This summer Nintendo did not want to disclose any hardware. And hey, the biggest gaming convention came in the year and went about the Switch Pro without any notice. No reason to panic: all reports about the Switch Pro are bogus. There’s no reason to panic. Sometimes an enterprise needs its plans to be adapted.

However, it almost guarantee that the Switch Pro will not be on sale before the end of the year by not discussing a nextgen switch at E3. In October 2016 the original switch was first advertised before it was finally sold on 3 March 2017. And if I had to bet, I would spend money on Nintendo doing something similar in Switch Pro: a potential announcement this autumn, followed in the spring of 2022 by official sales.

Photo: Sam Rutherford

It could also fit in well with Nintendo’s 2022 launch window for Breath the wild 2, not only by placing the release date of the Switch Pro almost exactly six years after it originals (which would give a mid-life refresh for the switch nearly perfectly. The first Breath of the Wild was a start game for the original Switch, and it was a major driver for the strong first year sales of the Switch.

It’s very likely that Breath of the Wild 2 (and Switch Pro or both) will be relocated in summer or fall of 2022, but I’d not wonder if Nintendo plans to release the Switch Pro and BotW 2 simultaneously, to guarantee that there’s a first-party game that really demonstrates the performance of a more potent Switch. It’s a clever business move too, not just a nod to tradition.

Photo: Sam Rutherford

We should also be aware that in August 2019 Nintendo announced the Switch Lite and it was later published in September. The turnaround for a big console is terribly rapid, and I doubt that Nintendo will do the same for the switch pro. Nevertheless, if Nintendo does not announce Switch Pro before the end of the summer, this will be the final mushroom of poisons, in the hope that in 2021 people will be able to see Switch Pro.

The global chip crunch is another big obstacle Nintendo needs to overcome to launch Switch Pro this year. There are extremely few components available in all kinds, ranging from display controllers to automotive chips, and especially for consumer electronics, SoCs. And with large foundries such as TSMC that are already operating “over 100%,” it is going to become very difficult for Nintendo to squeeze into a new chip for the Switch Pro next to AMD, Nvidia, Microsoft, Sony and others.

However, Nintendo should have more time to supply components by pushing the launch date of Switch Pro (and hence its production ramp) into 2022.

But perhaps it is because the actual switch still rakes in sales that the biggest reason we will not find the Switch Pro in this year. In fiscal 2020, Nintendo’s total revenues in 2020 were just over $6 billion; by the time the Wii sold out like hotcakes, Nintendo generated $16.6 billion in the year 2000 just below its all-time high in 2008 and ’09.

In addition, the Nintendo Switch continues to be the world’s leading retail chart this year, even with competition from PS5 and the Xbox-Series X/S, with Ampere Analysis reporting that in Q1 2021, 5,86 million Nintendo switches were sold, compared with 2,83 million PS5 and 1,31 million for both Xbox series releases. Offer constraints obviously hurt Sony and Microsoft, both of which have reduced total sales (which provides another reason for Nintendo to wait), but still outselling the next-generation Xbox and PlayStat consoles together. Nintendo has for the time being the luxury to retain.

It’s a shit that this year’s chances for Switch Pro are slim—I have been expecting a Switch Pro and I have been waiting for it since 2019 — but it’s important not to let the hype get out of hand. And hey, when my reading about tea leaves is wrong, we are pleasantly surprised, not sadly deceived. It is important that expectations are set.

Shigeru Miyamoto is famous in a lot of ways about delayed games: “A delayed game is good, but a quick game is always bad.” And if anything is almost sure to disappoint, it’s a Switch Pro that was pushed out before it’s ready.